Democrats can’t believe what they are seeing with their very own eyes.
Donald Trump was supposed to be finished by now.
And Joe Biden learned some bad news for the shocking swing state poll numbers.
The four indictments, 91 criminal charges and multitude of civil suits Democrat prosecutors brought against Donald Trump were supposed to end his presidential campaign and hand victory in the 2024 election to Joe Biden.
But that’s not the case at all.
A new set of polls from seven critical swing states showed Donald Trump holding a lead in five.
Trump led Biden by five in Georgia, four in Arizona and North Carolina, two in Wisconsin and one in Pennsylvania.
Michigan was tied and the only battleground that Biden led Trump in was Nevada.
📊 Morning Consult/Bloomberg poll: Trump Leads Biden in Five of Seven Swing States.
Georgia
Trump 48% (+5)
Biden 43%
~~
Arizona
Trump 47% (+4)
Biden 43%
~~
Wisconsin
Trump 46% (+2)
Biden 44%
~~
Pennsylvania
Trump 46% (+1)
Biden 45%
~~
North Carolina
Trump 47% (+4)
Biden 43%
~~… pic.twitter.com/BNFnmeKFyi— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) October 19, 2023
These polls showed Trump would score an Electoral College win over Biden.
But unlike 2016 and 2020, Donald Trump could win the popular vote.
A new Emerson poll showed Trump holding a two-point advantage over Biden.
Executive Director of Emerson College Polling Spencer Kimball explained that Trump led Biden thanks to Biden’s flagging support among young voters.
Biden won 60 percent of the youth vote – Americans ages 18 to 29 – in 2020 but dropped to 43 percent in the Emerson poll.
“While the poll reflects voters under 30 breaking for Biden by significant margins in 2020, 45% of voters under 30 support Trump in 2024 in this survey while 43% support Biden,” Kimball wrote. “These voters are most likely to be undecided among all age groups, at 12%. Even with progressive candidate Bernie Sanders on the ballot, the election is statistically similar among this group, 45% supporting Sanders and 42% Trump. The impact of Trump on younger voters is better seen in the Romney v. Biden ballot test where Biden leads 50% to 24% among voters under 30, more reflective of Biden’s 2020 support.”
Young voters are not the only traditional Democrat voting bloc where Biden showed soft poll numbers.
Poll after poll finds Biden’s numbers with black and Hispanic voters tanking.
One explanation for traditional Democrat voters souring on Biden is inflation.
Thanks to interest rate hikes to combat soaring prices Americans now face eight-percent interest rates on 30-year fixed mortgages.
Punishing interest rates combined with a Redfin report listing the median home price of $369,250 means home ownership and moving out of their parents’ house is out of the question for young voters.
2023 is set to see the fewest new home sales on record and Americans – especially those in swing states and traditional Democrat constituencies – are taking out the decline in their quality of life on Joe Biden.
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