Polls show Donald Trump leading Joe Biden by as much as 10 points.
But there are storm clouds on the horizon.
And now Donald Trump got hit with some bad news that could cost him everything in 2024.
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. mounted a primary challenge to Joe Biden.
But Democrats essentially foreclosed any path to defeat Biden for the nomination by changing the rules on delegates and not scheduling any debates.
Kennedy wants to continue his campaign.
However, Kennedy is looking to run as an independent third-party candidate in the general election.
Kennedy posted a video to social media teasing a major announcement on October 9 in Philadelphia.
“I want to tell you now what I’ve come to understand after six months of campaigning: There is a path to victory,” Kennedy stated. “We all recognize that there’s a genuine possibility of national transformation and its source is the goodness in the American people.”
— Robert F. Kennedy Jr (@RobertKennedyJr) September 29, 2023
Although Kennedy is a Democrat it is likely he appeals more to voters who would consider Trump rather than Biden.
If RFK Jr. truly runs as an independent, it may hurt Trump more than it hurts Biden
He may have a D next to his name, but he is viewed more favorably by Republicans than Democrats.
It may not be by enough to make a meaningful difference, but this is not a good thing. pic.twitter.com/e2Akc3CTjn
— Red Eagle Politics (@RedEaglePatriot) September 29, 2023
Although Kennedy has the golden Kennedy name, his views place him far outside the mainstream of Democrats.
Kennedy opposes vaccine mandates, biological males playing girls’ sports, a so-called “assault weapons” ban, and the war in Ukraine.
All of those policy positions line up Kennedy more with the populist end of the Republican Party than the Democrats.
In 2016, Democrats believed Trump beat Hillary Clinton because of the presence of Libertarian and Green Party candidates on the ballot giving a place for Americans who disapproved of both candidates a place to cast a protest vote.
Democrats made sure the Green Party didn’t appear on ballots in key swing states four years later which helped Biden as voters who didn’t like either candidate were forced to choose and went with Biden.
Heading into the 2024 election Democrats control the election machinery in key states like Arizona, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Nevada.
And with polls showing Kennedy has more appeal to Republicans than Democrats, Biden’s allies will make sure Kennedy appears on the ballot in the states that will decide the winner.
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