Democrats are nervous about next year’s midterm election.
Now they got some more bad news.
Nancy Pelosi knew it was all over when these two key allies abandoned her.
Democrats hold their narrowest majority since World War Two.
Republicans only need to flip six seats in the House of Representatives to win back the majority.
Political prognosticators believe one of the big advantages Republicans hold is their dominance in state legislatures which affords them control over the redrawing of nearly twice as many congressional districts as do Democrats following reapportionment in the 2020 Census.
One state where Republicans appear ready to flex their redistricting muscles is Florida.
In previous cycles the state Supreme Court struck down Republican maps, but the Florida state Supreme Court has a new conservative majority.
And two incumbent Democrats are heading for the hills of running for higher office rather than stick around and see how the Republican state legislature chops up their districts to make them less hospitable.
Stephanie Murphy is considered a “blue dog” Democrat although that term has lost much meaning as of late as so-called “moderate” Democrats almost never stand up to Nancy Pelosi or the “Squad.”
Murphy announced she is launching a challenge to two-term Republican incumbent Senator Marco Rubio.
Murphy staffer Lauren Calmet made the case that her boss could beat Rubio.
“Stephanie Murphy has never lost a race, despite representing one of the most competitive seats in the country,” Calmet told Florida Politics. “She is an effective legislator, a proven fundraiser, and exactly the type of person who can beat Marco Rubio. Should she decide to run for the US Senate, she will win.”
But Murphy does not have a clear shot to take on Rubio.
Florida Democrat Congresswoman—and rumored finalist to have been Joe Biden’s running mate—Val Demings is also entering the primary for the Senate nomination.
Demings’ aides made it clear she intends to lean heavily on identity politics and her biography as the centerpiece of her Senate campaign.
“She’s the daughter of a maid and a janitor who became the first Black woman police chief in Orlando. He’s the son of a maid and a bartender who’s a career politician,” a Demings advisor told POLITICO.
The Demings advisor continued on telling POLITICO that Rubio opposing what Republicans called a nearly two-trillion-dollar “blue state bailout” bill was what pushed Demings into the race.
“If I had to point to one thing, I think it’s the Covid bill and the way Republicans voted against it for no good reason,” the Demings aide added. “That really helped push her over the edge. She also had this huge fight with [Ohio Republican Rep.] Jim Jordan and it brought that into focus. This fight is in Washington and it’s the right fight for her to continue.”
In reality, the new districting effort by Republicans in Florida and other states is pushing House Democrats to abandon ship and enter Senate contests.
Rubio is a tough incumbent to dislodge.
In 2016, Marco Rubio got 700,000 more votes in Florida than Donald Trump did when Trump won the state’s 29 Electoral College votes.
The 2022 environment in Florida figures to be more hospitable to Republicans with Joe Biden in the White House.
Pelosi must know her tenuous grip on power is slipping away with each announcement of a Democrat abandoning their position in the House of Representatives.
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