Donald Trump is facing the biggest challenge of his presidency.
The country needs to reopen the economy without risking a further coronavirus outbreak.
All hell broke loose when Trump found out the true coronavirus death toll.
Looking at coronavirus numbers can be a terrifying experience.
Currently, almost half a million Americans have tested positive for coronavirus and 15,000 have died. That’s about a 3% death rate.
But the problem with those statistics is that testing is reserved for those with the most serious symptoms.
Those with more mild symptoms don’t get tested, and without testing it is impossible to distinguish mild coronavirus symptoms from a common cold and a percentage of people don’t become ill at all.
While we don’t know the percentage of all those numbers, we do know that the current data has results that are better than predicted.
The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation just lowered their prediction of deaths by 25% down to 60,000.
This is far lower than the estimates that Dr. Fauci was giving a few days ago when he suggested that America could see 100,000-200,000 deaths in the next few months.
As the data on the coronavirus becomes more precise, the number of projected deaths keeps going down.
This is fantastic news and the CDC director thinks that the models still may be overestimating the number of deaths.
According to the Washington Examiner:
The director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention predicted that if people practice social distancing, the death toll from the coronavirus in the United States will be lower than what health experts have projected.
“If we just social distance, we will see this virus and this outbreak basically decline, decline, decline. And I think that’s what you’re seeing,” said Robert Redfield, according to CBS News. “I think you’re going to see the numbers are, in fact, going to be much less than what would have been predicted by the models.”…Redfield suggested people should not put much stock in modeling alone.
“Models are only as good as their assumptions, obviously there are a lot of unknowns about the virus,” he said. “A model should never be used to assume that we have a number.”
While the mainstream media is trying to spin every unknown into panic, causing uncertainty, there is a real possibility that the situation will markedly improve.
There are many scary stories circulating the news, but no major news outlet is going to pick up the story of a family that came down with coronavirus symptoms after exposure to a confirmed coronavirus case when none of them became sick enough to need intervention of any kind.
That’s not an interesting story for anyone to read about. Still less interesting to read about are the people who don’t get any symptoms at all.
No one knows how this will play out completely because no one has all the data at the moment.
But there’s no reason to accept the worst predictions as fact until there’s data to back them up.